Transcript
  • 00:01    |    
    Initial credits
  • 25.5    |    
    Seven governing rules for success in contemporary conflict
  • Empirical methodology
  • 02:24.5    |    
    Niccolò Machiavelli
  • Virtù and prudenza
  • 04:07    |    
    Governing rules
  • 05:14    |    
    Legitimacy
    • Moral right to govern
    • Active consent of the governed
    • Reaffirmation of the population's will
    • Italian example
      • Aldo Moro
      • No dirty war
      • Update criminal code
  • 11:43    |    
    Unity of effort
    • Temporary counterterrorism task force
    • Carabinieri General Carlo Alberto Dalla Chiesa
    • North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
  • 16:38    |    
    Information
    • Creation of a new public opinion
    • Salvadoran example
    • Italian example
      • Media cooperation
      • Public diplomacy campaign
      • Manipulating the arrogance of the Red Brigades
  • 20:48.5    |    
    Intelligence
    • Human intelligence (HUMINT)
    • Central intelligence organization
    • Partito Comunista Italiano (PCI) cooperation
    • Illusionary legitimacy
  • 27:19.799999999999954    |    
    Isolation
    • Stop monetary support
    • Main supporters of the Red Brigades
    • France
  • 30:7.5    |    
    Actions of intervening powers
    • NATO did not intervene
    • Vietnam and El Salvador examples
  • 31:48.5    |    
    Indigenous military capabilities
    • Arma dei Carabinieri
    • Soft power
    • No alienation of the population
    • No threat of a military takeover
  • 34:18.5    |    
    Primary implications
    • Victory never achieved as a result of military actions alone
    • No dirty war
    • Regime legitimacy
    • Populace-oriented model
    • Defensive and offensive actions
  • 40:04    |    
    Question and answer period
    • What happens when the government suffers a separation of its institutions?
    • Can you comment on the oil and piracy problem in Somalia?
      • Control of the area
      • Perception
    • What happens with countries, like Costa Rica, that do not have an army to defend their population?
      • Reducing the size of the armed forces
      • Modernization of other security forces
      • Costa Rica's civil police
    • What about people's sense of security when the military is suppressed?
      • Interests abroad
      • Ineffective suppression of the army
      • Military dictatorships in Latin America
    • What kind of training did the Italian counterterrorism task force have?
      • Arma dei Carabinieri
      • Paramilitary training
      • Chilean Carabinieri
      • Suppressing the police
      • Mexican army
    • What is your opinion of Samuel P. Huntington's theory of military coups?
  • 01:03:58.5    |    
    Final words
  • 01:05:08    |    
    Final credits


Seminar Unconventional Conflicts Precipitated by Non-State Actors (Day 2, Part II)

New Media  | 25 de junio de 2009  | Vistas: 184

About this video

In this conference, Max Manwaring explains the seven critical governing rules for success in contemporary conflict. He illustrates each of the seven rules using historical examples from countries whose governments and populations have been targeted by terrorist organizations. The Italian government’s successful response to the violent Red Brigades campaign during the late 1970s, which put these seven governing rules into effect, is analyzed in detail. He also describes the roles assumed by the Italian military and the Carabinieri during this period. Finally, Manwaring answers student questions regarding recent reductions in the size of the armed forces seen in some countries. He analyzes how the population’s sense of security is affected by these reductions as well as the accompanying need to modernize other security forces.


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Credits

Seminar: Unconventional Conflicts Precipitated by Non-State Actors (Day 2, Part II)
Max Manwaring

Academic Building, A-406
Universidad Francisco Marroquín
Guatemala, June 25, 2009

New Media - UFM production.  Guatemala, July 2009.
Camera: Mario Estrada, Joni Vasquez; digital editing: Mynor de León; index: Sergio Bustamante; content revisers: Daphne Ortiz, Jennifer Keller; publication: Mario Pivaral / Carlos Petz



Conferencista

Max G. Manwaring is a research professor of military strategy at…